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Red Alert Q Tips

Quarterly Quandary Quips

Pause 10 16 5
The stock market paused more than ricocheted last week.
Many of the key stocks did end the week higher than the close on Monday.
Since hawkish talk makes a difference for the Federal Reserve,
then action may not be needed.
I feel that there is a growing chance that the Fed will pause in November
to insure a better 4th Q due to the low consumer sentiment figures.
Oil should fall to around 57 or lower if there is more public awareness
 of coal to gas, multi-fuel hybrid engines, ethanol and bio-diesel technology.
Home price escalation seems to be slowing and even dropping in some areas,
Credit card debt is still high after all the mortgage refinancing,
now absorbing the recent gas expenses leaving little for anything else.
Most consumers are tapped out and the economy needs to stay strong
in order to work out of the multiple of messes we are in.
Iraq can soon take care of their problems
enabling most of our soldiers to come home.
Bankruptcies can pass through the system.
Refco issues can be dealt with more forcefully than expected.
Punishment needs to be harsher than the hand slapping
of the brokerage firms in the last few years
in order to bring faith back into the equity markets.
Let the new Fed Chairman prove his diligence against inflation.
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